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Morning Update

While I have little no support from any other local meteorologists, I still have confidence that accumulating snow will develop tonight and that the snow storm could be major for areas North of Interstate 70 all the way to the Michigan line.

Light rain will develop tonight and I look for a changeover to snow to begin across Northwest and West Central Indiana by 4:00 am. As the freezing line sweeps Southeast across the area, I look for rain to change to snow across all of Eastern Indiana and Western Ohio by 7:00 AM.

Snow will continue through the day on Tuesday and will likely become quite heavy through the morning and afternoon hours and I actually expect the snow to continue into the evening and possibly overnight hours as a deformation zone/throwal develops across Central Indiana and Western Ohio.

Snowfall rates on Tuesday could be quite heavy with rates approaching 1-2 inches hours at times in the height of the storm. The other big story is that as the low pressure system strengthens, winds will increase and blowing and drifting will become a major story. In fact, I expect that winds could gust to 45 mph across the Northeastern half of Indiana and all of Western Ohio and this could create whiteout conditions to near blizzard conditions at time.

Total snowfall accumulations will range from 2-4 inches across Terre Haute, Indianapolis, Crawfordsville and Noblesville.

Farther Northwest 4-6 inches is likely at Lafayette, Tipton, Kokomo, Anderson, Logansport and Delphi.

Richmond, Connersville, Liberty, New Castle, and Eaton (Ohio) will see 3-5 inches.

Dayton (Ohio) will see 2-3 inches.

Winchester, Muncie, Portland, Marion Huntington, Decatur, Berne, Greenville (Ohio), Sidney (Ohio), and Celina (Ohio) will see 4-7 inches.

Gary to South Bend over to Fort Wayne will see 6-10 inches.

Here is my forecast map concerning the progression of the freezing line tonight.



Once again today, I have doctors appointments in Dayton all day, so I doubt I get a chance to send out another update before I leave, but I will be taking my laptop so that I can send out email updates and at least update the blog.

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Comments

I feel for your lack of support on the forecast but I think you are pretty much on target with your accumulations. Good luck.

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