This Week Compared to 1974
The storm system on Thursday & Friday looks pretty impressive to me if the models keep such a strong trough. The set up on the gfs looks like there could be a dry punch at mid levels. The big catch is its still very early in the game so things, the trough evolution still could change and lessen the threat. For fun compare the 132 hr forecast from the GFS with April 3, 1974. Not a perfect match but some similarities in that both show a strong trough with a potent low level jet.
Attached is a 4 panel image of the 1974 outbreak, and the other two are model images showing the possibility for Friday. Definitely some comparisons.


